Latest news
A recent paper by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) indicates that if Trump returns to power, 84% of consumers may no longer believe in the Fed's political independence and instead perceive it as leaning toward the Republican Party. This conclusion is based on a survey of 5,025 consumers and raises concerns about central bank credibility and inflation expectations.
ADM announced on Monday that it will correct newly discovered internal sales accounting errors, restate its fiscal 2023 and first and second quarter 2024 results, and cancel its scheduled Tuesday earnings call. The company lowered its full-year EPS guidance to $4.50-$5.00, and shares closed down 6% at $51.99 that day.
The Conference Board's Employment Trends Index for October shows that although nonfarm payrolls increased by only 12,000 in the month, future hiring indicators remained stable, hinting that the labor market may level off after recent cooling. Economists noted that the impacts of hurricanes and strikes are temporary, and with the Federal Reserve's rate cuts taking effect and election uncertainty fading, business uncertainty is expected to ease.
New technologies, cyber threats, and new SEC regulations have intensified the risk environment for CFOs. Anthony Pugliese, CEO of the IIA, suggests that CFOs should establish strategic partnerships with internal audit teams to jointly identify and mitigate risks from disruptive technologies like AI, but should avoid direct reporting relationships to preserve audit independence.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued new rules on Monday requiring public companies to disclose specific expense items in more detail in tabular format in the notes to financial statements. The rule is the final formal step in the multi-year project "Disaggregation of Income Statement Expenses" (DISE) and will be effective for annual reporting periods after December 15, 2026.
A latest report from Moody's Ratings shows that high-profile union victories over the past few months may strengthen labor organizing trends. Although this trend could erode corporate profitability, it may help reduce employee turnover in the long run. According to data from the National Labor Relations Board, union election petitions surged by 27% in the year ending September 30, reaching a more than decade high, while workers won 73% of elections, the highest rate since 2014.
The Fed's preferred inflation gauge accelerated, providing grounds for slowing the pace of rate cuts
The U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year in September, both higher than expected, indicating that inflation remains sticky. After the data release, the probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed next week in the interest rate futures market dropped to zero, while the probability of a 25-basis-point cut rose to 93%. Meanwhile, consumer spending and confidence data were strong, but policy risks remain.
Recently, Ernst & Young (EY) dismissed dozens of U.S. employees for concurrently attending multiple online training sessions, deemed a 'violation of ethics.' This incident reveals the time and ethical pressures accountants face between client work and continuous professional training. Experts point out that staff shortages and training requirements exacerbate the issue, and EY had previously been fined $100 million by the SEC over a similar scandal.
The Tax Policy Center (TPC) estimates that if Trump's proposed 20% global tariff and 60% tariff on China are implemented, American households would face an average tax increase of nearly $3,000 next year, and imports would decrease by $9 trillion over the next decade. Additionally, a 200% tariff on Mexican cars would add about $600 more to household tax burdens. Trump's campaign team responded that high tariffs would encourage companies to relocate factories back to the U.S.